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标题: [闲谈] 马大大，明天把金条扔了吧 [打印本页]

作者: 读读书 时间: 2014-11-25 20:17 标题: 马大大，明天把金条扔了吧

做了一点山寨FA，咱还是看空yellow

理由只有一个，GDP超好

作者: oldhorse 时间: 2014-11-25 20:27

做了一点山寨FA，咱还是看空yellow

理由只有一个，GDP超好
读读书发表于 2014-11-25 19:17

嗯，明天看。
待会我给你找片文，原来看空黄金多年的已经转向了

作者: 读读书 时间: 2014-11-25 20:28

回复 2# oldhorse

谢谢。。。
烦请快1点，咱已经冲进去空了。

作者: oldhorse 时间: 2014-11-25 20:36

回复 oldhorse

谢谢。。。
烦请快1点，咱已经冲进去空了。
读读书发表于 2014-11-25 19:28

he Gold Report -- 2015

The following brief was adapted from recent analysis published Nov. 11, 2014, in the Financial Forecast Service, authored by EWI's top U.S. analysts, Steve Hochberg, Peter Kendall and Robert Prechter. An expanded, in-depth, 15-page version of the report is available free to subscribers. Learn more and get access now, or continue reading the free version below.

Excerpted from the Elliott Wave Theorist/Financial Forecast Interim Report
November 11, 2014

A Bullish Juncture as Gold Bugs Finally Bug Out

On September 2, 2011, The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast cited a just-released Gallup poll that showed Americans considered gold to be the best long-term investment, beating out real estate, stocks/mutual funds, savings accounts/CDs and bonds. We forecast the following: "it is surely a sign of exhaustion and perhaps the strongest sign of a gold top." The issue added, "Gold's wave structure is consistent with a terminating rise." Prices peaked two trading days later at $1921.50 on September 6, 2011. Despite record monetary stimulus in QE3 and QE4, years of political crises in the Mideast and Russia's invasion and annexation of part of its neighbor Ukraine, EWT and EWFF have maintained a bearish stance toward gold. Now, for the first time in three years, the wave structure can be labeled a complete five waves down from September 2011, which indicates a significant countertrend gold rally at hand.

... [there has been] a recent sea change in sentiment toward gold. [It] does not reflect the breadth of bearishness that existed in 2001, but it's negative enough for an intermediate-term low.

Other measures of investor psychology concur. Two weeks before gold's September 2011 peak, the 5-day Daily Sentiment Index (trade-futures.com) rose to 96% gold bulls, a record optimistic extreme that dates back to April 1987, when the data start. Last week, on November 5, the 5-day DSI fell to just 5%, a record pessimistic extreme. So far, that is the day of the daily closing low for gold at $1140.52.

The chart also shows the position of gold traders who use futures and options, as compiled each week in the CFTC's Commitment of Traders report. Small Traders hold positions whose size is under the minimum reporting requirements to the CFTC. In October 2012, as gold was making a lower wave (2) high at just under $1800, small traders were so convinced that gold would continue higher that they held their biggest net-long position in over 11 years. Now, with gold down 36% since then, Small Traders are so convinced that gold will continue lower that they hold their biggest net-short position in 15 years. Current levels of sentiment are consistent with the end of a Primary-degree decline and the start of a rally.

Our chart shows that gold has traced out five Intermediate waves down from September 2011. It is also possible to label five waves down within Intermediate wave (5), terminating at the closing low at $1140.52 on November 5 and the intraday low at $1131.85 on November 7.

If these lows are wave A, as shown by the "You Are Here" arrow on the Simple Schematic, wave B will carry gold higher into 2015. A reasonable target range is $1433-$1500. Even if wave (5) down isn't over yet, this will remain the ideal target range for wave B when it occurs.

作者: 读读书 时间: 2014-11-25 20:37

回复 4# oldhorse

作者: oldhorse 时间: 2014-11-25 20:37

回复 oldhorse

谢谢。。。
烦请快1点，咱已经冲进去空了。
读读书发表于 2014-11-25 19:28

图片附件: Gold-1411Interim-2.jpg (2014-11-25 20:37, 12.04 KB) / 下载次数 36
http://store.yayabay.com/forum/attachment.php?aid=770245&k=48964073e3873aa1bfc7db1fbfd7237f&t=1732509422&sid=U505UY

作者: oldhorse 时间: 2014-11-25 20:38

图片附件: Gold-1411Interim.jpg (2014-11-25 20:38, 34.43 KB) / 下载次数 32
http://store.yayabay.com/forum/attachment.php?aid=770246&k=c2a4e8408842ae342b23a2f7ef913d73&t=1732509422&sid=U505UY

作者: oldhorse 时间: 2014-11-25 20:39

文章中有两张插图，考不过来，我单发在上面了了

作者: 读读书 时间: 2014-11-25 20:47

回复 8# oldhorse

作者: oldhorse 时间: 2014-11-25 22:29

回复 oldhorse
读读书发表于 2014-11-25 19:47

最后空金子了吗？

作者: 读读书 时间: 2014-11-26 00:44

回复 10# oldhorse

YES，short gold 进行时。。
马大大看着危险不？

作者: oldhorse 时间: 2014-11-26 01:17

回复 oldhorse

YES，short gold 进行时。。
马大大看着危险不？
读读书发表于 2014-11-25 23:44

我是觉得有，不过你已经空了，那就祝你好运了。

http://www.usatoday.com/story/mo ... ld-prices/70085982/

作者: 读读书 时间: 2014-11-26 01:50

回复 12# oldhorse

OMG...

作者: goldbug 时间: 2014-11-26 11:06

Swiss referendum 乃一忽悠耳，不会通过的。

作者: 读读书 时间: 2014-11-26 12:32

回复 14# goldbug

作者: aimei 时间: 2014-11-26 17:19

宝不能扔

作者: 读读书 时间: 2014-11-27 00:22

本帖最后由读读书于 2014-11-26 23:29 编辑

回复 11# 读读书

马大大，黄金崩了，你的金条今天扔了吗？
猜猜周五的新闻头条：

米股新高
油价新低
黄金暴跌
气病普京

作者: oldhorse 时间: 2014-11-27 01:18

回复读读书

马大大，黄金崩了，你的金条今天扔了吗？
猜猜周五的新闻头条：

米股新高
油价新低
...
读读书发表于 2014-11-26 23:22

没有啊，我不知道今晚也开市，不是放假吗？

作者: 读读书 时间: 2014-11-27 01:19

回复 18# oldhorse

future开，明天貌似还有半天。

作者: oldhorse 时间: 2014-11-27 01:32

回复 oldhorse

future开，明天貌似还有半天。
读读书发表于 2014-11-27 00:19

不知道，早知道我扔了。
不过也许明天回来呢？
为什么跌，你知道吗？

作者: 读读书 时间: 2014-11-27 01:35

本帖最后由读读书于 2014-11-27 00:39 编辑

回复 20# oldhorse

大才子别吓我，再整个熊套我又进去了。

我嚼着是，重大消息隔天反应。。
那啥，马大大研究看看为神马跌？

作者: oldhorse 时间: 2014-11-27 01:40

回复 oldhorse

大才子别吓我，再整个熊套我又进去了。
我嚼着是，重大消息隔天反应。。
那啥 ...
读读书发表于 2014-11-27 00:35

不知道啊，是不是空头趁放假偷袭？
也许周五都回来了。

作者: oldhorse 时间: 2014-11-27 01:56

看了一圈，没看到任何消息。
就是空头趁人少吧，瞎搞呗

作者: 读读书 时间: 2014-11-27 02:02

本帖最后由读读书于 2014-11-28 04:31 编辑

回复 23# oldhorse

真能瞎搞啊，我游了一圈车河。

作者: 读读书 时间: 2014-11-27 23:49

本帖最后由读读书于 2014-11-28 04:31 编辑

还是静悄悄的做空比较安全。。

明天的头条：
米股新高
油价新低
黄金暴跌
气病普京

作者: aimei 时间: 2014-11-28 00:46

这样逼人打仗亚

作者: oldhorse 时间: 2014-11-28 00:46

金子是扶不起来的阿斗啊！

作者: oldhorse 时间: 2014-11-28 00:57

这样逼人打仗亚
aimei 发表于 2014-11-27 23:46

找读书算账，都是她空下来的

作者: 读读书 时间: 2014-11-28 01:59

回复 26# aimei

其实已经开战了，货币战争的异性体。全面性的战争不可能了。

作者: 读读书 时间: 2014-11-28 02:11

阿妹妹放心，一会儿马大大就给买上去。。

作者: 读读书 时间: 2014-11-28 09:25

本帖最后由读读书于 2014-11-28 09:08 编辑

clueless..side way

作者: 读读书 时间: 2014-11-28 14:28

金子破位了。

作者: qzhou3 时间: 2014-11-28 14:30

回复 32# 读读书

Congrats on your DUST!

作者: 读读书 时间: 2014-11-28 14:31

回复 33# qzhou3

天然气破位了。。怎么办。

作者: qzhou3 时间: 2014-11-28 14:33

回复 34# 读读书

Patience! The sky will not fall

作者: 读读书 时间: 2014-11-28 14:33

回复 35# qzhou3

油也破位了。。omg
太可怕了

作者: qzhou3 时间: 2014-11-28 14:36

回复 36# 读读书

I don't have oil... Will buy some when it is down to 50

作者: 读读书 时间: 2014-11-28 14:49

本帖最后由读读书于 2014-11-28 13:58 编辑

回复 37# qzhou3

油破位以后我转空了，压力更大。周末可千万别出事

图片附件: CL.png (2014-11-28 14:56, 3.44 KB) / 下载次数 47
http://store.yayabay.com/forum/attachment.php?aid=770481&k=442486727638e389a89f06e2ddb1be5e&t=1732509422&sid=U505UY

作者: 读读书 时间: 2014-11-28 14:59

本帖最后由读读书于 2014-11-28 14:18 编辑

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