oldhorse

今早这个gap 我也没想到。虽然我知道 gap down 但没想到gap down 这么多。

幸好昨天吧call 都抛了。万幸 ...
zhangamy 发表于 2014-7-10 12:12

thanks, the bounce is very strong and i bought tna this morning.
still think 1950 will hold and we go up from here again

oldhorse

it might have been a great bear trap this morning, if not,  we are heading to 1920.
close above 1970 today will send bears packing and a short squeeze tomorrow.

oldhorse

今天太戏剧化了， 再来几次这样的，心脏就呜呼了

oldhorse

破1970，明天1980，后天1990.

oldhorse

still believe we are heading to 2000 if we can hold 1960 for a few days and never break 1950.
short term, 1950 should hold.

I started add ing hedging though, will increase to 10% and maybe 20% as I watched pre-market which was much uglier and dangerous than regular market, it really looked like the sky was falling.

oldhorse

today is really a proof ,the market is hard to go down.
evrey time it dips, buyers come in to save it, the actions on Thursday should be perfect for bears to follow through, but bears failed it.

now it should be cautious though, as margin money is too much which could trig an avalanche.

play bulls market but with hedging:
puts and inverse indexes, 2 or 3 times.

qzhou3

Ma Da Da,
Where is FB going? Is there a price target to sell half? Many thanks!

oldhorse

Ma Da Da,
Where is FB going? Is there a price target to sell half? Many thanks!
qzhou3 发表于 2014-7-14 11:34

    中长线都不错， 68站住了有望挑战前高。
看多少钱进的了，70-71可以卖一半。

oldhorse

胡说：
1977 到1990不到0.6%， 13点，估计明天会碰一下。
本周该过1990，1990-1995， 然后开跌。
1940底。

黄金奇异果

有没有可能先碰2000再跌呢

qzhou3

回复 188# oldhorse

Thanks!!

oldhorse

有没有可能先碰2000再跌呢
黄金奇异果 发表于 2014-7-15 00:21

    估计快接近的时候，多数人就吓得跑了，结果就到不了了。

oldhorse

今天冲过1900的时候，要保持冷静， 减低仓位，卖掉高beta股，另外在1990处买入sds，spxu，hedge。

oldhorse

今天耶伦这一干预， 我觉得2000没戏了，1990 也没戏了。
没有small cap的参与，大盘不跌就不错，但也不会涨太多。
small cap 的生化和social 对rut大概又是一轮-10%的打击。
今天我买入了tza，防止rut雪崩。

耶伦实在太讨厌了， 好好的牛市被她毁了。

估计现在开始猪市，得两三个月，rut要跌， spy大盘股耶奶奶没说有问题， 那么大盘就一直要和rut背离， 然后纳指在apple，intc推动下又要上涨，估计最后就是猪了。

读读书

回复 194# oldhorse

想不明白叶轮为什么要这么讲，联储主席这么具体的讲股票合适么？