本帖最后由 Diver 于 2012-8-23 09:42 编辑
Jobless Claims
Released On 8/23/2012 8:30:00 AM For wk8/18, 2012
Prior Prior Revised Consensus Consensus Range Actual
New Claims - Level 366 K 368 K 365 K 360 K to 373 K 372 K
4-week Moving Average - Level 363.75 K 364.25 K 368.00 K
New Claims - Change 2 K 4 K 4 K
Highlights
The jobs market is improving, but only slowly and not any faster than trend. These are the not-so-bullish conclusions from weekly jobless data where initial claims for the August 18 week are up 4,000 for a second straight week to 372,000 (prior week revised 2,000 higher to 368,000). But prior weeks in late July and early August show a net decline, making for a favorable month-to-month comparison with the July trend. Though the 4-week average is now up slightly to 368,000, it's still 8,000 below the level in mid-July in a comparison that points to improvement for the August employment report (this comparison matches the mid-month survey period for the government's monthly report). But this rate of improvement isn't any better than the long term trend which has seen similar monthly declines going back to July last year.
Continuing claims are even a little more flat, up 4,000 in data for the August 11 week to 3.317 million. The 4-week average of 3.312 million is just about unchanged against both the July and June trends. The unemployment rate for insured workers remains stuck at 2.6 percent which is where it has been since mid-March.
The Labor Department reports no special factors in today's report which shouldn't rattle the outlook for continuing economic growth. But, at the same time, the report won't raise expectations for building momentum. Stock futures are easing in initial reaction. |